📚 A NEW Probly Tool To Find YOUR Best Bet Fast

It’s exciting times at Probly and I’ve got two words for you to sum it up: SPORTSBOOK FILTERING!

We’re finally adding a feature a lot of you all have asked for, which is exciting because we really do want to be a company that hears our customers and then tries to solve for their problems.

We’ve got more details on the rollout, which should come by end of this weekend, so check it out in the Product Updates portion below.

This is already our highest grossing month yet and we passed a few major download and active customer milestones so we really hope you guys enjoy the product and trust we’ll continue to push it further.

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Change your life in betting! In March, we closed the month 134-123-7 and +27.4u with a 22% ROI. While that was an outlier month (our API has a backtested 12-20% ROI per sport), it still shows the power of what you can do with Probly if you follow our process — or develop one of your own with our data and filtering.

Get 50% off your first month or year now — under $10 for your first month or under $100 for A YEAR — with promo code FIRST. Or get a seven-day free trial on the App Store version!

Today, we’ll share our NBA Top 10 bets along with our Most Profitable challenge for the week and a few MLB bets plus an optimistic update AND more on the Sportsbook Filter feature being added to Probly at the end. Here’s your Probly Email for April 11th, 2024! - @ChrisSpags

• 🏀 Top NBA Bets and an MLB Most Profitable Challenge

• 🔓 Probly Updates: The Investor Grind And A HUGE New Feature

The Most Profitable challenge fell to 4-1 last week after Patrick Corbin went nuts on strikeouts after looking like he’d be pulled early. Brutal beat but that is betting.

If you are a new customer and tail this bet I’m about to show you, send me a screenshot at Probly.com before the game starts [email protected]. If the bet loses, I will comp you a free month of Probly+. If the bet wins, I expect you to pay for a month of Probly+ at whichever tier you deem appropriate. That’s the bet between gentlemen (or gentleman and lady, gentleman and talking dog, whatever).

The current best bet in this week’s Most Profitable challenge is:

Mets-Royals over 8 — 56% Probability — 7.8 PROBLY Score at -110 odds

Send your screenshots to me if you tail it BEFORE THE GAME [email protected]. First pitch is 7PM Eastern.

Otherwise, here’s the rest of the Top 10 NBA bets for today, from a video done this morning:

And here’s five bonus bets for MLB. We got SMOKED on the low probability HR batch last week, which I guess was due after the killer Friday the week before last. Water finds its depth. NEVERTHELESS WE PROCEED with at least a few slightly less risky ones and a few more risky ones.

Wayyyy more conservative than last week but we’re trying to hand out winners here. Check the app for some juicy home run bets if you want to dwell in the world of 10-30% probabilities.

Of course our best bets, probabilities, and PROBLY Scores are always updated all night and day so get more for yourself at Probly.com or on the App Store.

^Here’s our video tutorial on optimal settings, which is also live as an interstitial for new users on Probly. Read our previous post on optimal settings before you dive in to betting with Probly’s data.

This week was a busy one, particularly as we enter due diligence processes with a couple of different investors/groups to see where things align.

One thing I’ve learned from this process — as well as our earlier ones of having meetings, creating and updating decks, sending countless emails — is an old axiom many founders have provided:

Fundraising is a full-time job.

I saw it first hand at Football Outsiders’ parent company, with our CEO eventually resigning amidst a funding process because he had grown weary of dealing with banks and investors (conveniently at a time they also couldn’t continue to raise any more money as the economy shifted towards cash-flow positive businesses). I’ve read it in countless posts and PDFs providing fundraising advice.

And yet, now that we’re finally in the hunt to hopefully close some things, I am truly seeing it for myself. If I had to estimate the total time expense of meetings, emails, research, applications, etc, I’d wager it’s been a good 33% of my time overall since we first started creating this product in April 2022.

Now the hope is eventually you find your depth in terms of valuation versus traction and have some comfort with what you’d give away with taking investment. I think we’re precisely at the right point for that now. I feel like we could bootstrap this for another year and be miles ahead in terms of product success as well as subscriber, user, and revenue goals.

But I also know that I’ve put a lot of burden on myself and others as I’ve emptied my own savings — and received support from my wife as well as one of my CTO and my best friends — that the time is now to take some of that onus off ourselves while we hit the gas pedal on making Probly a true challenger brand in the betting space.

So we’ll continue to chase this down until we close something we feel good about. We also plan to apply to YCombinator, a legendary incubator/funding program, as a backstop. But, candidly, that would require the massive commitment of moving to San Francisco for three months, which would be very tough for me to do as a father of a two-year-old so we’re really hoping the bird in hand pays off.

Either way, it’s a lot to weigh on a brother right now! But we soldier forward and appreciate the support. It’s crazy to see the growth (and some of the success of you guys) while doing this all on our own. We just want to continue that high.

Productwise, we’re rolling out one thing we’ve been talked about that YOU GUYS have asked for hopefully this weekend: SPORTSBOOK FILTERING!

This has not yet deployed to production while we work out a few final kinks but the hope is it’ll be available on Probly.com and the app this weekend.

You’ll be able to choose between all the biggest marketshare books in the US, including DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Caesars, Fanatics, ESPN Bet, and Hard Rock for our Florida friends. You can now focus on books you have money in rather than just the odds. It will obviously limit the number of bets you’ll see (i.e. DraftKings only has so many individually, same for FanDuel) but we know it’s been asked for a lot and will allow you to transact even more efficiently on bets, so we prioritized it.

When it’s live, email [email protected] or me directly if you see any issues. We have a lot in the works to improve the experience based on your feedback and how we see things and this is a big step one.

If there’s anything you think we should be working on (as a paying customer or something you want to see that would make you a paying customer), let me know! My email is below!

If you guys encounter any issues not covered here or want to provide feedback, you can email me [email protected].

As always, thanks to all of you who read all the way down here. I’m hopeful the Most Profitable challenge can get back to its winning ways but we’ll see if the probability gods are in our favor this week.

You know I have to do one more plug: It’s a great time to get your free seven-day trial of Probly+ on the App Store or use promo code FIRST to get 50% off at Probly.com/subscribe (under $100 for a first year or under $10 for a first month). Change your life in betting! I’ll see you guys next week!