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  • 🥇 Best Bets In MLB/NBA And Finding Upside In Disappointment

🥇 Best Bets In MLB/NBA And Finding Upside In Disappointment

Plus A Tease Of Future Probly Product Updates!

A new week and a new Probly email! With MLB heating up — literally, with the heat wave on the East Coast, balls are flying out of park for our home run bets lately — as well as the NBA and NHL playoffs paring down, there’s a lot to bet on!

Get 50% off your first month or year now — under $10 for a first month or under $100 for A YEAR — with promo code FIRST. Or get a seven-day free trial on the App Store version!

Today, we’ll take a quick jaunt through the day’s MLB bets, some bonus EMAIL EXCLUSIVE ones for the NBA playoffs, and of course our latest product and company updates at the end! It’s your Probly Email for May 3rd, 2024! - @ChrisSpags

In Today's Probly Email
  • 🏀 Top NBA Playoffs Bets and MLB Best Bets

  • 🔓 Probly Updates: Product Plan And Finding Upsides In Disappointment

The Rest Of The Sports World

Unfortunately, no horse racing data in the world of Probly (market-based EV doesn’t work when the lines adjust to the public) so you’ll have to lose your ass on your own for the Kentucky Derby this weekend. But we’ll help you with our top MLB bets for today:

And, of course, I miss both doing AND the sweet sweet views that come with NBA content. We did well including these last weekend so here’s a bonus five bets for the NBA playoffs in the next few days:

Bet

Odds

PROBLY Score

Probability

Myles Turner under 7.5 rebs

-108

7.7

56%

Michael Porter Jr. under 2.5 threes

120

4.1

47%

Derrick Jones Jr. under 15.5 PRAs

-120

5

57%

Wendell Carter Jr. over 16.5 PRAs

-110

6.5

56%

Jamal Murray under 6.5 assists

110

5.2

50%

Of course our best bets, probabilities, and PROBLY Scores are always updated all night and day so get more for yourself at Probly.com or on the App Store.

Probly Product Updates

^Here’s our video tutorial on optimal settings, which is also live as an interstitial for new users on Probly. Read our previous post on optimal settings before you dive in to betting with Probly’s data.

Now that we’ve gotten the sportsbook filtering out (and seemingly very functional for you guys), the main Probly product product is likely going to hold steady for a bit besides some tweaks we make on the backend in the hopes of optimizing further and decreasing database costs.

We’re also researching some very big new features that we plan to work on eminently once our CTO Edgar finishes some database scripting items and updates to our underlying programming language that need to be done.

Because of industry competition — as well as our current fundraising efforts — what we’re working on next is one product focal point we’ll keep under our hat. Basically, we have three REALLY big lift product features we want to build out that we think can be gamechangers for us that we have under our hat. To tease: It’s a lot built around making it even faster and more efficient to transact +EV bets and bets you want and making it all more social at the same time. I think you guys (and people out there) would be stoked at both.

Re: our fundraising efforts, we unfortunately hit an impasse with one local Philly group we were talking to so that option isn’t happening while we continue to kick the tires on a few others. It’s disappointing because it would be nice to get support locally here, at the very least to balance out my own aversion to uprooting to this area, and also since we’re just ready to take the next step forward of resources, execution, and some stability.

On the other hand, I really do feel like every month that moves forward we think our position grows stronger. April was our highest grossing month yet by a big margin, over 190% month over month from our first month (and up over 140% from March), we cleared 500 App Store downloads, and we just passed a pretty big milestone with email signups here too. So if someone doesn’t come along for the ride — or if they don’t get the product or the industry — I don’t really view that as a loss to not have to manage that in perpeuity.

When you chase investors, especially before your company is making tons of monthly revenue, a lot of it feels like trying to drag them kicking and screaming into believing in you and the results you have so far. But I really want to work with people that want to go out of their way to work with us. And I think we’re going to find luck on that front soon. The time suck of having to keep the pipeline going while working with people isn’t ideal but it’s just what has to be done until we find a fit that excites us and someone else equally.

So we keep pushing here. No matter what, we’ll keep executing on the product and thinking about ways to solve for problems in sports betting you might not even know you have. We feel like our position grows stronger and the longer that the world forces us to bootstrap. Similarly, the longer it drags out, the more resourceful and customer happiness/conversion-focused we’ll be in the interim, which will likely position us better long term anyway.

I know what we have with the product and I know what we can have if we keep working like this. Your signups matter a lot because, no matter how this neverending investment process goes, we'll continue to work to reward your faith as many ways we can.

If you guys encounter any issues not covered here or want to provide feedback, you can email me [email protected].

farewell for now

As always, thanks to all of you who read all the way down here. I’m strapping in for a lot of work this weekend with the wife and kid out of town so stuff like that does mean a lot. Whether the financial support comes immediately or we have to claw our way until Probly can sustain itself, we’re in for the long haul.

You know I have to do one more plug because we need it if those big checks aren’t gonna come: It’s a great time to get your free seven-day trial of Probly+ on the App Store or use promo code FIRST to get 50% off at Probly.com/subscribe (under $100 for a first year or under $10 for a first month). Change your life in betting! I’ll see you guys next week!